ক্ষেত্রফল এবং জ্যামিতিক সম্ভাব্যতার মধ্যে সম্পর্ক

Suppose two numbers $x$ and $y$ are each chosen such that $0 < x < 1$ and $0 < y < 1$. What is the probability that $x + y \leq \frac{1}{2}$ ?

If we go about solving this problem using traditional counting methods, we would be in a dilemma. There would be infinitely many possibilities we would have to consider ... that would take way too long. Fortunately, there is a better method - geometric probability. This strategy is used to compute a probability when the outcome is continuous (that is, there are infinite possibilities). We consider our "successful" and "possible" regions as some geometric object. In this example, the possible region can be represented in the coordinate plane with $0 < x < 1$ and $0 < y < 1$. This region is a square with corners $(1, 0), (1, 1), (0, 1),$ and $(0, 0)$.

Now we need to draw the successful region. $x + y \leq \frac{1}{2}$ is a line, and the region inside the square and below this line is the successful region.

We now calculate the areas. The area of the square is 1, while the area of the triangle is $\frac{1}{8}$. The probability is

$P(x +y \leq \frac{1}{2}) = \frac{\frac{1}{8}}{1}=\frac{1}{8}$

Geometric Probability is the question of: When I choose a point in a given shape, what is the probability that it is in a certain region? This is answered by finding the area of the certain region and dividing that by the area of the whole shape:

In the picture above, the geometric probability that if I pick a random point in $\bigtriangleup ABC$ I chose a point also inside $\bigtriangleup ACD$ is the area of $\bigtriangleup ACD$ divided by the area of $\bigtriangleup ABC$.